St Patricks 2-1 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.92
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.74
Over 2.5
49%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
4.01
6+ Goals
10%
18.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
12%
4.27
X/2
11%
7.33
X/X
9%
4.42
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
9%
5.76
2/X
8%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
48%
+2.3pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
54%
-3.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
46%
+3.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
1.64/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.94
+3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +36%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 69%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
22.6 Crosses 19.4
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Galway United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.61 xG 1.23
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
247 Passes 203
66% Pass Accuracy 65%
11 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
31.05.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
16.02.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.10.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
25.08.2017 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İRK
30.06.2017 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks edged past Galway United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St Patricks and 1.00 for Galway United.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Galway United?

St Patricks 2-1 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 50%, draw 24%, Galway United 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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