Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dundalk v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Dundalk vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-1
Derry City
İRL
3-0
HT 1-0
Dundalk
İRL
2-2
HT 0-1
Derry City
İRL
Dundalk 0-2 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City beat Dundalk 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Dundalk had 45% of the ball to Derry City's 55%, shots finished 11-12.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundalk and 2.17 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Dundalk vs Derry City?
Dundalk 0-2 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 35%, draw 23%, Derry City 42%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.