Dundalk 0-0 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 31 May 2024

Dundalk
0-0 HT 0-0
Derry City
📅31/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Dundalk vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
43%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.62
Over 2.5
37%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
38%
2.56
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.6
6+ Goals
7%
24.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 38% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.64
1/2
5%
28.5
1/X
5%
15.8
X/1
11%
7.87
X/2
16%
3.98
X/X
19%
4.18
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.58
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+2.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.7pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
58%
+5.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
42%
-5.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.0pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundalk v Derry City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 54%
+20% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.19/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.91
+61% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
221 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 72%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
21.1 Crosses 18.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dundalk vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Derry City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.79 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
294 Passes 298
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
13 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
05.04.2024 Derry City Derry City 4-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
01.09.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-3 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
15.05.2023 Derry City Derry City 3-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
16.04.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-2 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
10.03.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
06.11.2022 Derry City Derry City 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL

Dundalk 0-0 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
0-0
AWAY Derry City
0.87 xG 0.52
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 9
226 Passes 343
67% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk and Derry City played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dundalk had 42% of the ball to Derry City's 58%, shots finished 12-15, expected goals 0.87 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundalk and 2.00 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Derry City?

Dundalk 0-0 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 26%, draw 31%, Derry City 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Derry City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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