St Patricks 2-1 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.55
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.61
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.6
X/1
12%
5.04
X/2
19%
5.73
X/X
10%
3.93
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
13%
4.32
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.0pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+6.2pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
0.79/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.12
-15% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +88%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
255 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 76%
16.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.0 Crosses 18.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Galway United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.44 xG 0.53
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
110 Passes 222
48% Pass Accuracy 64%
11 Box Touches 23
10 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.02.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.10.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
25.08.2017 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İRK
30.06.2017 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
14.04.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
12.08.2016 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
2-1
AWAY Galway United
1.17 xG 2.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
316 Passes 194
75% Pass Accuracy 61%
17 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks edged past Galway United 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 28% / 39% — and on the day St Patricks made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St Patricks had 56% of the ball to Galway United's 44%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 1.17 to 2.21 — the balance of chances actually favoured Galway United.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for St Patricks and 0.83 for Galway United.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Galway United?

St Patricks 2-1 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 33%, draw 28%, Galway United 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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