Waterford FC 2-1 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 31 May 2024

📅31/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.87
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.06
6+ Goals
10%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 31% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.75
1/2
6%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.5
X/1
13%
5.31
X/2
13%
5.47
X/X
14%
4.25
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
18%
3.91
2/X
7%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-3.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.7pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 38%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.27/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/0.97
+42% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -9%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
244 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 76%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
18.4 Crosses 17.4
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Bohemians
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.38 xG 1.51
44% Ball Possession 56%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
169 Passes 311
61% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
25.10.2021 Bohemians Bohemians 1-2 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
22.10.2021 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
07.08.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
29.05.2021 Bohemians Bohemians 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.04.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
2-1
AWAY Bohemians
1.75 xG 1.20
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
166 Passes 259
61% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 23
18 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC edged past Bohemians 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Waterford FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Waterford FC had 43% of the ball to Bohemians's 57%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 1.75 to 1.20.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Waterford FC and 1.00 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Bohemians?

Waterford FC 2-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 31/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 34%, draw 29%, Bohemians 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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