Galway United 0-1 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 16 Feb 2024

Galway United
0-1 HT 0-1
St Patricks
📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2024

Galway United vs St Patricks Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.7
No
40%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
25%
3.55
6+ Goals
12%
14.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.31
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
5%
13.15
X/1
13%
5.03
X/2
13%
5.83
X/X
15%
4.58
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
26.5
2/2
15%
4.08
2/X
5%
13.25
Value flag · 2/1 at 26.5 — our 10% vs market 1.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.8pp
60%
BTTS Yes
55%
+5.2pp
40%
BTTS No
45%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Galway United v St Patricks — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 37%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +12%
1.70/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.45
+22% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
303 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
– Crosses 18.0
– Yellow Cards 2.9

Galway United vs St Patricks Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY St Patricks
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
The Meetings
13.10.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
25.08.2017 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İRK
30.06.2017 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
14.04.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
12.08.2016 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
10.05.2016 Galway United Galway United 0-3 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL

Galway United 0-1 St Patricks — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
0-1
AWAY St Patricks
0.53 xG 0.44
61% Ball Possession 39%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
222 Passes 110
64% Pass Accuracy 48%
23 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galway United vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks squeezed past Galway United 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Galway United at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Galway United had 61% of the ball to St Patricks's 39%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.53 to 0.44.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Galway United and 1.17 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Galway United vs St Patricks?

Galway United 0-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Galway United 41%, draw 25%, St Patricks 34%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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