Derry City vs Drogheda United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Drogheda United — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Drogheda United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Derry City
İRL
3-0
HT 1-0
Drogheda United
İRL
0-1
HT 0-1
Derry City
İRL
0-1
HT 0-0
Drogheda United
İRL
1-1
HT 0-1
Derry City
İRL
1-1
HT 1-0
Drogheda United
İRL
Derry City 2-1 Drogheda United — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City nicked a narrow win over Drogheda United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.
On the day, Derry City had 66% of the ball to Drogheda United's 34%, shots finished 16-9, expected goals 0.79 to 1.28 — the balance of chances actually favoured Drogheda United.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Derry City and 0.50 for Drogheda United.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Derry City 2-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Drogheda United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Derry City 60%, draw 24%, Drogheda United 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.