Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Dundalk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 16 Feb 2024

📅16/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.31
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
13.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.75
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
19.35
X/1
18%
3.36
X/2
8%
13.75
X/X
9%
5.76
2/1
9%
24.15
2/2
10%
11.75
2/X
7%
20.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-10.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.9pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundalk EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +17%
1.50/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.06
-3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +68%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
347 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 66%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
22.1 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Dundalk
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.13 xG 0.64
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
340 Passes 307
77% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 17
13 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
23.07.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRK
30.06.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 2-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
02.06.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
31.03.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 0-4 HT 0-2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
21.08.2022 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-1
AWAY Dundalk
0.94 xG 0.32
72% Ball Possession 28%
11 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
466 Passes 137
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
23 Box Touches 8
46 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Shamrock Rovers carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 72% of the ball to Dundalk's 28%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.94 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.50 for Dundalk.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?

Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 16/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 56%, draw 22%, Dundalk 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
16 Feb 2024
22:45 Bohemians vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
22:45 Galway United vs St Patricks Analysis →
22:45 Waterford FC vs Shelbourne Analysis →
22:45 Derry City vs Drogheda United Analysis →