Shelbourne 3-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.89
2-3 Goals
44%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.21
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.0
X/1
20%
3.86
X/2
11%
9.82
X/X
7%
4.52
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
10%
8.17
2/X
8%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-6.8pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +18%
1.58/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.43
-14% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +68%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
390 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 70%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
22.8 Crosses 15.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shelbourne
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Waterford FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.88 xG 0.43
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
346 Passes 262
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 13
19 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.06.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
17.05.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.02.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
16.10.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
10.10.2020 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
01.08.2020 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shelbourne
3-1
AWAY Waterford FC
1.57 xG 1.26
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 1
364 Passes 210
77% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Shelbourne vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne beat Waterford FC 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shelbourne had 61% of the ball to Waterford FC's 39%, shots finished 15-9, expected goals 1.57 to 1.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shelbourne and 0.33 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Waterford FC?

Shelbourne 3-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 49%, draw 25%, Waterford FC 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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