Waterford FC 0-1 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.84
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
43%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.9
No
61%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.56
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.62
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.56 — our 36% vs market 32.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.65
1/2
10%
31.5
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
15%
6.03
X/2
15%
4.85
X/X
13%
3.88
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.42
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
32%
-1.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.2pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+4.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
49%
-9.3pp
61%
BTTS No
51%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +18%
1.06/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/0.73
+30% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +116%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
284 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 69%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
21.6 Crosses 10.9
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.43 xG 0.97
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
228 Passes 360
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.02.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
16.10.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
10.10.2020 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
01.08.2020 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
09.02.2018 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-2 HT 1-2 Shelbourne Shelbourne HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
0-1
AWAY Shelbourne
0.41 xG 0.71
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 2
332 Passes 319
77% Pass Accuracy 80%
15 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne edged past Waterford FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Waterford FC had 52% of the ball to Shelbourne's 48%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 0.41 to 0.71.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Waterford FC and 1.00 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Shelbourne?

Waterford FC 0-1 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 30%, draw 27%, Shelbourne 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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