Dundalk 1-0 Sligo Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
29%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.67
Over 2.5
46%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.36
6+ Goals
10%
22.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
17%
3.99
X/2
10%
7.96
X/X
14%
4.33
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
12%
6.62
2/X
6%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
23%
+5.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.9pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundalk EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 26%
+14% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -5%
1.06/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.41
+29% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -16%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.2 Crosses 14.6
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundalk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.06 xG 0.79
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
294 Passes 256
72% Pass Accuracy 68%
17 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2024 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
04.03.2024 Dundalk Dundalk 0-5 HT 0-4 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
20.10.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-1 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
11.08.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
06.05.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-1 HT 0-0 Dundalk Dundalk İRL
07.04.2023 Dundalk Dundalk 1-2 HT 1-1 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundalk
1-0
AWAY Sligo Rovers
1.57 xG 0.07
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 2
275 Passes 233
69% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 13
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundalk nicked a narrow win over Sligo Rovers 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Dundalk as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Dundalk had 52% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 48%, shots finished 15-4, expected goals 1.57 to 0.07 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Dundalk's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Dundalk and 1.33 for Sligo Rovers.

What was the final score of Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?

Dundalk 1-0 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dundalk 46%, draw 25%, Sligo Rovers 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dundalk), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Dundalk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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