Bohemians 1-2 Derry City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.46
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.31
6+ Goals
7%
21.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.98
1/2
8%
28.0
1/X
9%
14.55
X/1
11%
7.44
X/2
17%
4.27
X/X
13%
4.15
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
2.74
2/X
8%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
25%
+7.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.3pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-9.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.6pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Derry City EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
0.86/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/0.90
+19% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
18.6 Crosses 19.3
3.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Derry City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.06 xG 0.99
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 8
231 Passes 348
69% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
15.03.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-1 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
25.08.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 1-2 Derry City Derry City İRL
09.06.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
12.05.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
10.04.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-2
AWAY Derry City
1.31 xG 1.37
51% Ball Possession 49%
4 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
293 Passes 256
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
13 Box Touches 26
21 Crosses 30
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Derry City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City edged past Bohemians 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 30% / 38%) promised a tight game; Derry City found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bohemians had 51% of the ball to Derry City's 49%, shots finished 4-16, expected goals 1.31 to 1.37.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bohemians and 0.83 for Derry City.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Derry City?

Bohemians 1-2 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Derry City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 32%, draw 30%, Derry City 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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