St Patricks 2-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.6
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
27%
3.34
6+ Goals
10%
12.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
6.69
1/2
10%
23.15
1/X
8%
15.0
X/1
9%
8.88
X/2
16%
4.08
X/X
10%
5.17
2/1
11%
34.5
2/2
18%
2.28
2/X
8%
14.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+7.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-8.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
0.94/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.67
+23% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +45%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
206 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 392 · 79%
13.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
15.4 Crosses 18.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.55 xG 1.62
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
218 Passes 385
70% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
05.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
09.02.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-1 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRSK
27.10.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
15.05.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-2 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
21.04.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
2-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.77 xG 1.07
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
240 Passes 398
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks edged past Shamrock Rovers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, St Patricks had 40% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 60%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.77 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St Patricks and 2.17 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers?

St Patricks 2-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 30%, draw 25%, Shamrock Rovers 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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