Galway United 3-0 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 13 Jun 2024

📅13/06/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.25
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.62
6+ Goals
9%
14.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.25 — our 29% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.12
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.5
X/1
15%
3.81
X/2
8%
10.05
X/X
12%
5.06
2/1
11%
24.0
2/2
12%
8.09
2/X
8%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-9.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.7pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 22%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -20%
1.14/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.28
-44% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -15%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
290 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 198 · 63%
28.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
24.3 Crosses 16.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Drogheda United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.82 xG 0.27
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
158 Passes 141
52% Pass Accuracy 51%
23 Box Touches 4
31 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 2-3 HT 1-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
08.03.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-0 HT 0-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
20.10.2020 Galway United Galway United 1-3 HT 1-2 Drogheda United Drogheda United İR1
17.08.2020 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İR1
02.08.2019 Galway United Galway United 1-3 HT 0-3 Drogheda United Drogheda United İR1
24.05.2019 Drogheda United Drogheda United 3-0 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
3-0
AWAY Drogheda United
1.41 xG 0.21
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 4
144 Passes 306
55% Pass Accuracy 68%
13 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Galway United vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United cruised past Drogheda United 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Galway United as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Galway United had 36% of the ball to Drogheda United's 64%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 1.41 to 0.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Drogheda United led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Galway United and 2.00 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Galway United vs Drogheda United?

Galway United 3-0 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 13/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Galway United 48%, draw 27%, Drogheda United 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galway United), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galway United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
13 Jun 2024
21:45 Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers Analysis →
21:45 Bohemians vs Derry City Analysis →
21:45 St Patricks vs Shamrock Rovers Analysis →
21:45 Waterford FC vs Shelbourne Analysis →