Drogheda United 0-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
45%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.91
Over 2.5
55%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.48
6+ Goals
10%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+
19%
6.89
1/2
5%
23.15
1/X
7%
15.5
X/1
6%
8.88
X/2
16%
3.98
X/X
9%
5.13
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.26
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
45%
Away Win
53%
-8.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
48%
-3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
52%
+3.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 57%
+4% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -21%
1.02/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/0.72
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +21%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 79%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.3
20.9 Crosses 18.2
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Drogheda United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.58 xG 1.60
30% Ball Possession 70%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
157 Passes 469
63% Pass Accuracy 84%
13 Box Touches 31
8 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.08.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-1 HT 1-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
31.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
29.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
22.10.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 5-0 HT 3-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
07.07.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
19.05.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Drogheda United
0-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
42% Ball Possession 58%
4 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers edged past Drogheda United 1-0 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

On the day, Drogheda United had 42% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 58%, shots finished 4-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Drogheda United and 2.17 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Drogheda United 0-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 33%, draw 22%, Shamrock Rovers 45%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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