Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Drogheda United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.33
Draw
25%
4.81
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.29
Over 2.5
54%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.68
2-3 Goals
38%
1.91
4-5 Goals
28%
2.85
6+ Goals
10%
7.97
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1.59
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.65
X/1
13%
3.51
X/2
5%
16.4
X/X
8%
7.45
2/1
6%
21.4
2/2
9%
12.6
2/X
9%
20.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-13.4pp
25%
Draw
18%
+7.7pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+5.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
40%
+6.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
60%
-6.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.0pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Drogheda United EU Bookmakers 15%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -10%
1.66/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.56
+2% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 73%
27.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
25.5 Crosses 13.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Drogheda United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.67 xG 0.65
67% Ball Possession 33%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
426 Passes 159
80% Pass Accuracy 62%
33 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2024 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
29.04.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-0 HT 2-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
22.10.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 5-0 HT 3-0 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
07.07.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
19.05.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-2 HT 0-1 Drogheda United Drogheda United İRL
24.02.2023 Drogheda United Drogheda United 1-1 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-1
AWAY Drogheda United
0.91 xG 0.56
71% Ball Possession 29%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
496 Passes 152
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
16 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers and Drogheda United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Shamrock Rovers at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 71% of the ball to Drogheda United's 29%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.91 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.50 for Drogheda United.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Drogheda United in the Ireland - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Drogheda United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 57%, draw 25%, Drogheda United 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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