Galway United 1-1 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 11 Aug 2024

📅11/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.78
Over 2.5
42%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.0
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.0 — our 34% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.37
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.95
X/1
12%
3.95
X/2
15%
8.57
X/X
11%
4.7
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
6%
6.91
2/X
8%
15.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.5pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.1pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 25%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -25%
1.19/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.39
-25% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
305 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 66%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
22.3 Crosses 13.9
1.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY St Patricks
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.37 xG 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
208 Passes 213
62% Pass Accuracy 62%
24 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
31.05.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
16.02.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.10.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
25.08.2017 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İRK
30.06.2017 St Patricks St Patricks 1-1 HT 0-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
14.04.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
1-1
AWAY St Patricks
0.96 xG 0.21
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 0
194 Passes 314
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 4
30 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Galway United vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United and St Patricks shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Galway United at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Galway United had 42% of the ball to St Patricks's 58%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 0.96 to 0.21.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Galway United and 1.00 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Galway United vs St Patricks?

Galway United 1-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 11/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Galway United 47%, draw 26%, St Patricks 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Galway United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Galway United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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