Shamrock Rovers 4-1 Cork City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 20 Jun 2025

📅20/06/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.16
No
51%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
15%
9.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1.51
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
8%
22.0
X/1
17%
3.7
X/2
6%
19.9
X/X
5%
7.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.65
2/2
7%
18.45
2/X
8%
26.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.65 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
72%
-11.5pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.8pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
42%
+6.9pp
51%
BTTS No
58%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Cork City EU Bookmakers 14%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -12%
1.71/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.72
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 69%
26.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
22.8 Crosses 13.8
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Cork City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.98 xG 0.84
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
392 Passes 243
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
27 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.05.2025 Cork City Cork City 1-1 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
14.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-1 HT 2-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
30.10.2023 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
06.08.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Cork City Cork City İRL
26.05.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
06.03.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-4 HT 1-2 Cork City Cork City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
4-1
AWAY Cork City
1.40 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 1
476 Passes 373
91% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers cruised past Cork City 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 55% of the ball to Cork City's 45%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.40 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.33 for Cork City.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City?

Shamrock Rovers 4-1 Cork City in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 61%, draw 21%, Cork City 18%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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