Shelbourne vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shelbourne v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Shelbourne vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Shelbourne 0-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City nicked a narrow win over Shelbourne 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Derry City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Shelbourne had 47% of the ball to Derry City's 53%, shots finished 10-7, expected goals 1.11 to 0.27 — on chances, Shelbourne could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Shelbourne and 1.00 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Derry City?
Shelbourne 0-1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 35%, draw 31%, Derry City 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Shelbourne) went the other way.