Derry City 2-0 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.52
Over 2.5
43%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.21
2-3 Goals
42%
1.76
4-5 Goals
17%
5.08
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.22
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
13%
4.67
X/2
6%
6.73
X/X
16%
3.74
2/1
10%
32.5
2/2
16%
5.62
2/X
7%
15.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.6pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +13%
1.31/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/0.81
-36% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
333 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 73%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
22.2 Crosses 13.6
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.85 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
333 Passes 339
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.02.2025 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-1 HT 3-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
01.11.2024 Derry City Derry City 0-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
14.09.2024 Derry City Derry City 2-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
05.08.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
06.05.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
01.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
2-0
AWAY Shelbourne
0.98 xG 0.27
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 1
276 Passes 512
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 5
8 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City got the better of Shelbourne 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Derry City had 39% of the ball to Shelbourne's 61%, shots finished 9-6, expected goals 0.98 to 0.27.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Derry City and 0.83 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Shelbourne?

Derry City 2-0 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Derry City 43%, draw 29%, Shelbourne 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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