Bohemians 1-2 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.05
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
14.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1.98
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
16.45
X/1
17%
3.93
X/2
7%
11.45
X/X
9%
5.34
2/1
7%
24.2
2/2
13%
9.94
2/X
7%
18.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.5pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.6pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 20%
-10% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.34/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.57
-6% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
366 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 69%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
24.2 Crosses 14.6
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.46 xG 1.23
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
270 Passes 233
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
22 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.03.2025 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-3 HT 0-3 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
25.10.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
09.08.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-3 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
31.05.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
05.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
25.10.2021 Bohemians Bohemians 1-2 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-2
AWAY Waterford FC
3.29 xG 0.29
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
371 Passes 167
78% Pass Accuracy 59%
37 Box Touches 5
44 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC squeezed past Bohemians 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Bohemians had 64% of the ball to Waterford FC's 36%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 3.29 to 0.29 — the balance of chances actually favoured Bohemians.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bohemians and 1.50 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Waterford FC?

Bohemians 1-2 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 49%, draw 26%, Waterford FC 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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