St Patricks 2-0 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 2 May 2025

📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.65
2-3 Goals
35%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
4.07
6+ Goals
8%
19.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.65 — our 36% vs market 30.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.68
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.35
X/1
17%
4.39
X/2 EV+ ✗
14%
7.77
X/X
11%
4.4
2/1
5%
27.5
2/2
8%
6.39
2/X
5%
15.5
Value flag · X/2 at 7.77 — our 14% vs market 9.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.7pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St Patricks EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.60/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.13
+12% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
310 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 69%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
22.4 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St Patricks
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Galway United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.76 xG 1.22
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
268 Passes 186
68% Pass Accuracy 64%
14 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.02.2025 Galway United Galway United 2-1 HT 2-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
18.10.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
11.08.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
31.05.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
16.02.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.10.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St Patricks
2-0
AWAY Galway United
0.46 xG 3.21
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
367 Passes 299
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH St Patricks vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St Patricks beat Galway United 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, St Patricks had 54% of the ball to Galway United's 46%, shots finished 12-26, expected goals 0.46 to 3.21 — on chances, Galway United could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for St Patricks and 1.00 for Galway United.

What was the final score of St Patricks vs Galway United?

St Patricks 2-0 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 48%, draw 25%, Galway United 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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