Galway United 2-1 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
36%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.27
6+ Goals
6%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.99
1/2
7%
33.0
1/X
3%
13.4
X/1
19%
5.55
X/2
17%
5.56
X/X
12%
3.92
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
13%
4.0
2/X
11%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.8pp
36%
Away Win
35%
+1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+2.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galway United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 38%
-13% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +10%
1.08/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/0.93
-29% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
17.2 Crosses 18.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Galway United
1W-2D-3L
AWAY St Patricks
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.23 xG 0.61
50% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
203 Passes 247
65% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
11.08.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
31.05.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 2-1 HT 1-0 Galway United Galway United İRL
16.02.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
13.10.2017 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 1-1 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
25.08.2017 St Patricks St Patricks 0-2 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galway United
2-1
AWAY St Patricks
1.19 xG 1.22
34% Ball Possession 66%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
135 Passes 332
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 35
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Galway United vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galway United edged past St Patricks 2-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Galway United made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Galway United had 34% of the ball to St Patricks's 66%, shots finished 12-12, expected goals 1.19 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St Patricks led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Galway United and 1.17 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Galway United vs St Patricks?

Galway United 2-1 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galway United vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated a Galway United win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Galway United 37%, draw 27%, St Patricks 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Galway United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Galway United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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