Derry City vs Bohemians Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derry City v Bohemians — Team-Based Signals
Derry City vs Bohemians Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-2
HT 1-2
Derry City
İRL
Derry City 1-0 Bohemians — Actual Match Statistics
Derry City nicked a narrow win over Bohemians 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Derry City had 44% of the ball to Bohemians's 56%, shots finished 9-8, expected goals 0.28 to 0.84 — on chances, Bohemians could feel hard done by.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Derry City and 1.00 for Bohemians.
What was the final score of Derry City vs Bohemians?
Derry City 1-0 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derry City vs Bohemians?
Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Derry City 47%, draw 25%, Bohemians 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.