Derry City 1-1 Bohemians — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 11 Oct 2024

📅11/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
3.69
6+ Goals
8%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.1
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.45
X/1
16%
3.81
X/2
12%
10.3
X/X
13%
4.93
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
11%
8.39
2/X
8%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-12.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+10.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Bohemians EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +19%
1.30/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.20
-11% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +60%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
280 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 66%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
23.5 Crosses 17.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Bohemians
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.14 xG 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
295 Passes 253
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
23 Box Touches 18
28 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-2 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRK
13.06.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 1-2 HT 1-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
10.05.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
15.03.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 2-1 HT 1-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
25.08.2023 Bohemians Bohemians 2-2 HT 1-2 Derry City Derry City İRL
09.06.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
1-1
AWAY Bohemians
1.87 xG 0.72
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
401 Passes 264
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 13
33 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Bohemians
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City and Bohemians couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Derry City had 59% of the ball to Bohemians's 41%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 1.87 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Derry City and 0.83 for Bohemians.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Bohemians?

Derry City 1-1 Bohemians in the Ireland - Premier League on 11/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Bohemians?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Derry City 45%, draw 26%, Bohemians 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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