Waterford FC 0-1 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 21 Feb 2025

📅21/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
4.8
6+ Goals
7%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.03
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
6%
15.0
X/1
7%
7.17
X/2
11%
4.48
X/X
15%
3.76
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.94
2/X
10%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
25%
+1.0pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.2pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.0pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 49%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
0.89/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/0.79
+16% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +14%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
232 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
19.4 Crosses 14.6
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Waterford FC
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.64 xG 1.06
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
249 Passes 351
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
13 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
18.10.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 3-1 HT 1-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
13.06.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
17.05.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
16.02.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
16.10.2022 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
10.10.2020 Waterford FC Waterford FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Waterford FC
0-1
AWAY Shelbourne
1.83 xG 0.71
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
242 Passes 569
70% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 8
9 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Waterford FC vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Waterford FC 1-0 away from home.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Shelbourne as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Waterford FC had 35% of the ball to Shelbourne's 65%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.83 to 0.71 — the balance of chances actually favoured Waterford FC.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shelbourne led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Waterford FC and 1.33 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Waterford FC vs Shelbourne?

Waterford FC 0-1 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 21/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waterford FC vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shelbourne win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Waterford FC 26%, draw 31%, Shelbourne 43%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shelbourne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shelbourne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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