Cork City 1-1 Shamrock Rovers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 2 May 2025

Cork City
1-1 HT 0-1
Shamrock Rovers
📅02/05/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Ireland - Premier League – 2025

Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
48%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.96
No
58%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
38%
2.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
4.14
6+ Goals
9%
20.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.6 — our 38% vs market 31.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
7.22
1/2
6%
27.5
1/X
5%
16.15
X/1
9%
8.49
X/2
22%
4.23
X/X
16%
4.39
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
20%
2.5
2/X
5%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
23%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.5pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-2.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cork City v Shamrock Rovers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cork City EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 55%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -25%
1.00/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/0.90
+7% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +0%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
210 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 74%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.9
16.0 Crosses 20.8
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6

Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cork City
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.95 xG 2.07
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
251 Passes 367
72% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 28
9 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2025 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-1 HT 2-0 Cork City Cork City İRL
30.10.2023 Cork City Cork City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
06.08.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-1 HT 1-1 Cork City Cork City İRL
26.05.2023 Cork City Cork City 1-0 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
06.03.2023 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 4-4 HT 1-2 Cork City Cork City İRL
12.09.2020 Cork City Cork City 0-3 HT 0-2 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL

Cork City 1-1 Shamrock Rovers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cork City
1-1
AWAY Shamrock Rovers
0.40 xG 1.63
34% Ball Possession 66%
11 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
212 Passes 492
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cork City and Shamrock Rovers couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Shamrock Rovers at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Cork City had 34% of the ball to Shamrock Rovers's 66%, shots finished 11-15, expected goals 0.40 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cork City and 2.17 for Shamrock Rovers.

What was the final score of Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers?

Cork City 1-1 Shamrock Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 02/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cork City vs Shamrock Rovers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cork City 26%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Shamrock Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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