Bohemians 2-3 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 9 Aug 2024

📅09/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
22%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.95
Over 2.5
38%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
3.58
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 34% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.75
X/1
20%
4.26
X/2
6%
8.2
X/X
12%
5.01
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
11%
6.06
2/X
11%
14.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-3.6pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.6pp
22%
Away Win
24%
-2.0pp
62%
Under 2.5
48%
+14.7pp
38%
Over 2.5
52%
-14.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-10.2pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 28%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +8%
1.26/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.46
-15% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +96%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
298 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 64%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
23.1 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Waterford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.35 xG 1.06
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
285 Passes 168
74% Pass Accuracy 61%
28 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.05.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 2-1 HT 1-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
05.04.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
25.10.2021 Bohemians Bohemians 1-2 HT 1-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
22.10.2021 Bohemians Bohemians 1-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRK
07.08.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-0 HT 1-0 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
29.05.2021 Bohemians Bohemians 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
2-3
AWAY Waterford FC
1.63 xG 1.52
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 13
278 Passes 194
73% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC edged past Bohemians 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bohemians at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bohemians had 56% of the ball to Waterford FC's 44%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 1.63 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Waterford FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bohemians and 1.00 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Waterford FC?

Bohemians 2-3 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 09/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 47%, draw 30%, Waterford FC 22%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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