Derry City 0-1 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
5.4
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.11
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.85
X/1
14%
4.31
X/2
7%
6.52
X/X
16%
3.72
2/1
9%
32.5
2/2
17%
5.52
2/X
6%
15.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-0.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+2.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 30%
-6% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +2%
1.33/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/0.93
-32% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
337 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
25.5 Crosses 12.1
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.64 xG 0.41
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
303 Passes 411
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2024 Derry City Derry City 2-0 HT 1-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
05.08.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
06.05.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
01.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
20.10.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
30.06.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
0-1
AWAY Shelbourne
0.72 xG 1.75
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
360 Passes 299
78% Pass Accuracy 76%
11 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shelbourne squeezed past Derry City 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Derry City had 54% of the ball to Shelbourne's 46%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.72 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Derry City and 0.33 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Shelbourne?

Derry City 0-1 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Derry City 43%, draw 28%, Shelbourne 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Derry City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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