Derry City 2-0 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - FAI Cup, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
31%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.51
Over 2.5
49%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.26
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
5.46
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
54%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
18%
+12.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.7pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 21%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
3.33/0.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.01/2.31
+63% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -99% / -18%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 215 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
0W-6D-0L
AWAY Shelbourne
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
0.72 xG 0.56
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
318 Passes 390
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 13
20 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.08.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
06.05.2024 Derry City Derry City 1-1 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
01.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
20.10.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
30.06.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
02.06.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
2-0
AWAY Shelbourne
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City beat Shelbourne 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Derry City as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Derry City had 43% of the ball to Shelbourne's 57%, shots finished 14-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 6 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Derry City and 0.33 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Shelbourne?

Derry City 2-0 Shelbourne in the Ireland - FAI Cup on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Derry City 44%, draw 25%, Shelbourne 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Derry City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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