Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.51
Over 2.5
48%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
5.41
2-3 Goals
42%
2.0
4-5 Goals
20%
2.67
6+ Goals
10%
6.54
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.41 — our 28% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.39
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
26.5
X/1
22%
3.42
X/2
5%
24.85
X/X
6%
9.13
2/1
6%
23.15
2/2
6%
19.15
2/X
8%
26.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
76%
-10.4pp
20%
Draw
16%
+3.6pp
15%
Away Win
8%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
36%
+15.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
64%
-15.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-8.1pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 11%
-4% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -2%
1.60/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/1.50
+0% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +4%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
445 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 228 · 69%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
24.5 Crosses 14.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Waterford FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 0.45
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
360 Passes 182
76% Pass Accuracy 63%
21 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
06.05.2024 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 1-3 HT 1-2 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
01.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
05.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
10.09.2021 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
18.06.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-4 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
2-1
AWAY Waterford FC
2.17 xG 0.96
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
252 Passes 358
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
24 Box Touches 12
15 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shamrock Rovers squeezed past Waterford FC 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Shamrock Rovers as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 43% of the ball to Waterford FC's 57%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.17 to 0.96 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Shamrock Rovers's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 1.17 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 65%, draw 20%, Waterford FC 15%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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