Bohemians 1-1 Galway United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 1 Nov 2024

📅01/11/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.06
6+ Goals
7%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 32% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.28
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.95
X/2
8%
6.34
X/X
18%
4.08
2/1
5%
29.0
2/2
16%
4.66
2/X
6%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.5pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bohemians EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Galway United EU Bookmakers 33%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +7%
0.95/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.13
+6% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 72%
21.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.1
23.2 Crosses 20.2
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bohemians
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Galway United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.44 xG 1.37
57% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
321 Passes 138
71% Pass Accuracy 52%
35 Box Touches 27
24 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.07.2024 Galway United Galway United 1-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
06.05.2024 Bohemians Bohemians 0-1 HT 0-1 Galway United Galway United İRL
01.04.2024 Galway United Galway United 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRL
07.10.2023 Galway United Galway United 0-1 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
24.08.2018 Galway United Galway United 0-2 HT 0-1 Bohemians Bohemians İRK
09.02.2018 Galway United Galway United 0-2 HT 0-2 Bohemians Bohemians HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bohemians
1-1
AWAY Galway United
0.85 xG 0.86
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 10
331 Passes 195
74% Pass Accuracy 63%
13 Box Touches 27
25 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Bohemians vs Galway United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bohemians and Galway United couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 31% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Bohemians had 59% of the ball to Galway United's 41%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.85 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bohemians had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bohemians and 0.33 for Galway United.

What was the final score of Bohemians vs Galway United?

Bohemians 1-1 Galway United in the Ireland - Premier League on 01/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bohemians vs Galway United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bohemians win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bohemians 39%, draw 31%, Galway United 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bohemians), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bohemians) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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