Shelbourne vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Shelbourne v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Shelbourne vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Shelbourne 3-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Shelbourne put daylight between themselves and Derry City 3-1.
Our pre-match split (30% / 36% / 34%) promised a tight game; Shelbourne found the edge the numbers couldn't. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (56%) never looked like landing.
Under the surface, Shelbourne had 40% of the ball to Derry City's 60%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.88 to 1.07.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shelbourne and 0.50 for Derry City.
Shelbourne vs Derry City Result & Final Score
Shelbourne 3 - 1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier Division on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Shelbourne vs Derry City Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 30%, draw 36%, Derry City 34%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.