Shelbourne vs Derry City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shelbourne v Derry City — Team-Based Signals
Shelbourne vs Derry City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Shelbourne
İRL
Shelbourne 3-1 Derry City — Actual Match Statistics
Shelbourne got the better of Derry City 3-1.
Our pre-match split (29% / 36% / 35%) promised a tight game; Shelbourne found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Shelbourne had 40% of the ball to Derry City's 60%, shots finished 18-10, expected goals 1.88 to 1.07.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shelbourne and 0.50 for Derry City.
What was the final score of Shelbourne vs Derry City?
Shelbourne 3-1 Derry City in the Ireland - Premier League on 14/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shelbourne vs Derry City?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shelbourne 29%, draw 36%, Derry City 35%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.