Spezia 4-2 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 7 Mar 2026

Spezia
4-2 HT 2-2
Monza
📅07/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Spezia vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.9
Over
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.69
No
45%
2.05
Total Goals
0-1
27%
3.31
2-3
42%
1.75
4-5
22%
3.33
6+
9%
12.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.45
1/2 ✗
8%
24.8
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
9%
7.56
X/2
20%
4.92
X/X
13%
4.51
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
19%
2.76
2/X
8%
12.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.8 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
EV — the best model-vs-price gap in that group: the market pays more than our probability implies. After full time the tag settles to ✓ / ✗. Informational, not a validated tip — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Spezia v Monza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spezia The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza The Market 49%
-16% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
0.72/2.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.20
-73% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
18.9 Crosses 19.0
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.2

Spezia vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spezia
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Monza
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.79 xG 1.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
290 Passes 425
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2025 Monza Monza 1-0 HT 0-0 Spezia Spezia İTB
28.04.2023 Spezia Spezia 0-2 HT 0-1 Monza Monza İTA
09.10.2022 Monza Monza 2-0 HT 1-0 Spezia Spezia İTA

Spezia 4-2 Monza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spezia
4-2
AWAY Monza
1.60 xG 0.87
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
298 Passes 296
79% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Spezia vs Monza
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Spezia beat Monza 4-2. Level at 2-2 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Monza at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Spezia had 51% of the ball to Monza's 49%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 1.60 to 0.87.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Monza led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Spezia and 1.67 for Monza.

Spezia vs Monza Result & Final Score

Spezia 4-2 Monza in the Italy - Serie B on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Spezia vs Monza Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Monza win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Spezia 27%, draw 26%, Monza 47%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Monza), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Monza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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