Avellino vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Avellino v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Avellino vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Avellino 1-0 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Avellino shaded a tight game against Padova Calcio 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
The model refused to pick a side here (39% / 28% / 33%); Avellino picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
By the numbers, Avellino had 62% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 38%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 1.75 to 0.67.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avellino and 1.33 for Padova Calcio.
Avellino vs Padova Calcio Result & Final Score
Avellino 1-0 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Serie B on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Avellino vs Padova Calcio Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Avellino win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Avellino 39%, draw 28%, Padova Calcio 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avellino), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.