Padova Calcio vs Avellino Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Padova Calcio v Avellino — Team-Based Signals
Padova Calcio vs Avellino Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Padova Calcio
İTC
1-1
HT 1-0
Avellino
İTC
2-1
HT 2-1
Avellino
nan
2-1
HT 1-1
Padova Calcio
nan
Padova Calcio 2-2 Avellino — Actual Match Statistics
Padova Calcio and Avellino couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Padova Calcio had 45% of the ball to Avellino's 55%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.80 to 1.03.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.80 for Avellino.
What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Avellino?
Padova Calcio 2-2 Avellino in the Italy - Serie B on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Avellino?
Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 39%, draw 28%, Avellino 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.