Palermo 0-0 Venezia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.01
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.63
6+ Goals
9%
15.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 29% vs market 26.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.9
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.81
X/2
9%
7.09
X/X
12%
4.44
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
12%
5.28
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Palermo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Venezia EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +6%
1.60/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.30
+8% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 78%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
22.7 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palermo
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Venezia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.47 xG 1.44
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2024 Venezia Venezia 2-1 HT 2-0 Palermo Palermo İTB
20.05.2024 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
15.03.2024 Palermo Palermo 0-3 HT 0-2 Venezia Venezia İTB
26.09.2023 Venezia Venezia 1-3 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
15.04.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
27.11.2022 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palermo
0-0
AWAY Venezia
0.24 xG 0.55
36% Ball Possession 64%
3 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
168 Passes 387
69% Pass Accuracy 86%
14 Box Touches 8
13 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Palermo vs Venezia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Palermo and Venezia fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Palermo at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Palermo had 36% of the ball to Venezia's 64%, shots finished 3-11, expected goals 0.24 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Palermo and 1.83 for Venezia.

What was the final score of Palermo vs Venezia?

Palermo 0-0 Venezia in the Italy - Serie B on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Palermo vs Venezia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Palermo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Palermo 46%, draw 28%, Venezia 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Palermo), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palermo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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