Virtus Entella 2-2 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Sep 2025

Virtus Entella
2-2 HT 0-1
FC Bari 1908
📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Virtus Entella vs FC Bari 1908 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.52
Over 2.5
50%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.06
No
47%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.25
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
5.05
6+ Goals
11%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.15
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.15
X/1
14%
4.6
X/2
12%
6.65
X/X
10%
3.73
2/1 EV+ ✗
7%
31.5
2/2
9%
5.53
2/X
8%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 31.5 — our 7% vs market 1.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
62%
-11.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
38%
+11.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.3pp
47%
BTTS No
56%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Virtus Entella v FC Bari 1908 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Entella EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 31%
+9% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +8%
1.65/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.37
-11% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.6
21.2 Crosses 16.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Virtus Entella vs FC Bari 1908 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Entella
3W-2D-1L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
The Meetings
27.04.2018 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 1-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
03.12.2017 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 3-1 HT 2-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
04.03.2017 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
09.10.2016 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB
05.03.2016 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella 2-0 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
24.10.2015 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Entella Virtus Entella İTB

Virtus Entella 2-2 FC Bari 1908 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Entella
2-2
AWAY FC Bari 1908
1.14 xG 1.30
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
330 Passes 322
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
16 Box Touches 10
21 Crosses 16
6 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Virtus Entella vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Entella and FC Bari 1908 couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Virtus Entella at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Virtus Entella had 50% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 50%, shots finished 18-9, expected goals 1.14 to 1.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Entella had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Virtus Entella and 0.50 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Virtus Entella vs FC Bari 1908?

Virtus Entella 2-2 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Entella vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Virtus Entella win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Virtus Entella 46%, draw 26%, FC Bari 1908 28%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Virtus Entella) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Virtus Entella) ✓ BTTS Yes
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