Juve Stabia 2-1 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Sep 2025

📅30/09/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
18%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
20%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 32% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.96
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.05
X/1
21%
3.9
X/2
8%
11.3
X/X
12%
5.16
2/1
8%
24.3
2/2
5%
9.8
2/X
6%
18.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-1.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
18%
Away Win
17%
+1.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 20%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.13/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.67
-94% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
36.0 Crosses 17.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Mantova
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.86 xG 0.56
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
197 Passes 362
70% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.03.2025 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 0-0 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
28.08.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-0 HT 1-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
11.05.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-4 HT 0-3 Mantova Mantova İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
2-1
AWAY Mantova
0.92 xG 1.36
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
302 Passes 440
81% Pass Accuracy 90%
24 Box Touches 27
17 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juve Stabia nicked a narrow win over Mantova 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Juve Stabia as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 43% of the ball to Mantova's 57%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.92 to 1.36 — on chances, Mantova could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.67 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Mantova?

Juve Stabia 2-1 Mantova in the Italy - Serie B on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juve Stabia win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 58%, draw 23%, Mantova 18%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Juve Stabia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Juve Stabia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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