Frosinone vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Frosinone v Cesena — Team-Based Signals
Frosinone vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Frosinone
İTB
3-3
HT 2-2
Cesena
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Frosinone
İTB
2-1
HT 1-0
Cesena
İTB
Frosinone 3-1 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics
Frosinone saw off Cesena 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Frosinone made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.
On the day, Frosinone had 42% of the ball to Cesena's 58%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.94 to 1.56.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Frosinone had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Frosinone and 1.50 for Cesena.
What was the final score of Frosinone vs Cesena?
Frosinone 3-1 Cesena in the Italy - Serie B on 30/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Frosinone vs Cesena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Frosinone win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Frosinone 39%, draw 27%, Cesena 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Frosinone), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.