Cesena 1-1 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Apr 2025

Cesena
1-1 HT 1-0
Frosinone
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2024/2025

Cesena vs Frosinone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.43
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.48
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
11%
5.09
X/2
14%
6.37
X/X
13%
3.82
2/1
8%
32.0
2/2
13%
4.94
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.8pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cesena v Frosinone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cesena EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.13/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.34
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
304 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 78%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
22.0 Crosses 20.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Cesena vs Frosinone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cesena
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Frosinone
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.60 xG 1.35
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
490 Passes 239
88% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
01.12.2024 Frosinone Frosinone 3-2 HT 2-1 Cesena Cesena İTB
28.04.2018 Cesena Cesena 1-0 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
02.12.2017 Frosinone Frosinone 3-3 HT 2-2 Cesena Cesena İTB
31.03.2017 Cesena Cesena 1-1 HT 1-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
29.10.2016 Frosinone Frosinone 2-1 HT 1-0 Cesena Cesena İTB
01.05.2010 Frosinone Frosinone 0-2 HT 0-1 Cesena Cesena İTB

Cesena 1-1 Frosinone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cesena
1-1
AWAY Frosinone
1.16 xG 1.26
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
315 Passes 386
85% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 15
15 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Cesena vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cesena and Frosinone shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Cesena had 46% of the ball to Frosinone's 54%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 1.16 to 1.26.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cesena and 1.50 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Cesena vs Frosinone?

Cesena 1-1 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cesena vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cesena 38%, draw 29%, Frosinone 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cesena), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cesena) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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