Cremonese 1-1 Juve Stabia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
22%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.19
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.09
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
15.0
X/1
17%
4.14
X/2
8%
10.6
X/X
9%
5.11
2/1
10%
24.2
2/2
9%
8.84
2/X
6%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
57%
-1.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 21%
-8% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.73/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.29
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +9%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
360 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 72%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
25.0 Crosses 14.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Juve Stabia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.64 xG 1.52
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
280 Passes 332
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.10.2024 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-2 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
27.07.2020 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
26.12.2019 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 1-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-1
AWAY Juve Stabia
0.76 xG 0.19
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 3
3 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
247 Passes 208
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
26 Box Touches 6
30 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs Juve Stabia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese and Juve Stabia couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Cremonese at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Cremonese had 53% of the ball to Juve Stabia's 47%, shots finished 13-3, expected goals 0.76 to 0.19.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Cremonese had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Cremonese and 1.00 for Juve Stabia.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs Juve Stabia?

Cremonese 1-1 Juve Stabia in the Italy - Serie B on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs Juve Stabia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 55%, draw 23%, Juve Stabia 22%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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