Juve Stabia 1-2 Cremonese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.84
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.12
6+ Goals
10%
19.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.78
1/2
7%
29.5
1/X
6%
12.75
X/1
9%
6.51
X/2
12%
5.02
X/X
13%
3.94
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
20%
3.28
2/X
6%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.7pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.9pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.7pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.3pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juve Stabia EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Cremonese EU Bookmakers 43%
+7% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +1%
1.39/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.98
+21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.1
20.7 Crosses 21.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juve Stabia
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Cremonese
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.52 xG 1.64
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
338 Passes 288
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
18 Box Touches 22
25 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2020 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia 1-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
26.12.2019 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 1-1 Juve Stabia Juve Stabia İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juve Stabia
1-2
AWAY Cremonese
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
320 Passes 264
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Juve Stabia vs Cremonese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese edged past Juve Stabia 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Cremonese found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Juve Stabia had 54% of the ball to Cremonese's 46%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cremonese led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Juve Stabia and 1.50 for Cremonese.

What was the final score of Juve Stabia vs Cremonese?

Juve Stabia 1-2 Cremonese in the Italy - Serie B on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juve Stabia vs Cremonese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Juve Stabia 35%, draw 26%, Cremonese 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cremonese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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