Reggiana 2-0 Frosinone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 20 Oct 2024

📅20/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.94
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.54
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.66
6+ Goals
9%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.68
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.18
X/2
13%
5.83
X/X
14%
3.76
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
16%
4.36
2/X
7%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
31%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.3pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reggiana EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Frosinone EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +21%
1.11/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.30
-23% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
19.2 Crosses 19.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reggiana
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Frosinone
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.04 xG 0.76
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
312 Passes 322
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 12
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.04.2021 Frosinone Frosinone 0-0 HT 0-0 Reggiana Reggiana İTB
15.12.2020 Reggiana Reggiana 1-2 HT 0-0 Frosinone Frosinone İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reggiana
2-0
AWAY Frosinone
1.43 xG 1.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 8
275 Passes 349
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 27
9 Crosses 25
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Reggiana vs Frosinone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Reggiana got the better of Frosinone 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Reggiana made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Reggiana had 43% of the ball to Frosinone's 57%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 1.43 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Frosinone led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Reggiana and 1.00 for Frosinone.

What was the final score of Reggiana vs Frosinone?

Reggiana 2-0 Frosinone in the Italy - Serie B on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reggiana vs Frosinone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reggiana win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Reggiana 37%, draw 27%, Frosinone 36%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Reggiana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Reggiana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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