Cesena vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cesena v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals
Cesena vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cesena
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Sampdoria
İTA
2-3
HT 0-1
Cesena
İTA
0-1
HT 0-0
Sampdoria
İTA
Cesena 3-5 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics
Sampdoria beat Cesena 5-3 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Cesena at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Cesena had 53% of the ball to Sampdoria's 47%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 0.69 to 2.08.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cesena and 1.00 for Sampdoria.
What was the final score of Cesena vs Sampdoria?
Cesena 3-5 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 20/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cesena vs Sampdoria?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Cesena 43%, draw 23%, Sampdoria 33%. The final score 3-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cesena) went the other way.