Venezia 2-1 Palermo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 24 May 2024

Venezia
2-1 HT 2-0
Palermo
📅24/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2023/2024

Venezia vs Palermo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.27
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
10%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.92
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
18%
4.7
X/2
9%
6.83
X/X
16%
4.55
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
9%
4.95
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
45%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.6pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.1pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Venezia v Palermo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Palermo EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.72/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.47
+22% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.5
19.8 Crosses 18.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Venezia vs Palermo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Palermo
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.32 xG 1.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
316 Passes 353
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
20.05.2024 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
15.03.2024 Palermo Palermo 0-3 HT 0-2 Venezia Venezia İTB
26.09.2023 Venezia Venezia 1-3 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
15.04.2023 Venezia Venezia 3-2 HT 1-1 Palermo Palermo İTB
27.11.2022 Palermo Palermo 0-1 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
11.03.2019 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 1-0 Palermo Palermo İTB

Venezia 2-1 Palermo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
2-1
AWAY Palermo
1.97 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
324 Passes 429
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
28 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Palermo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Venezia squeezed past Palermo 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Venezia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Venezia had 44% of the ball to Palermo's 56%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.97 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Venezia and 1.00 for Palermo.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Palermo?

Venezia 2-1 Palermo in the Italy - Serie B on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Palermo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Venezia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Venezia 45%, draw 30%, Palermo 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Venezia) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Venezia)
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