Delfin 1-0 Guayaquil City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.04
Away
18%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
47%
+11.4pp
24%
Draw
29%
-5.6pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+1.4pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Delfin EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Guayaquil City EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.35/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.86
+5% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
262 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 73%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.8
18.8 Crosses 12.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Delfin
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Guayaquil City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.31 xG 1.09
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 4
173 Passes 366
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
22 Box Touches 12
22 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
08.09.2024 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 3-1 HT 1-0 Delfin Delfin EKVK
25.09.2023 Delfin Delfin 1-0 HT 0-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
22.04.2023 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 2-1 HT 0-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
30.07.2022 Delfin Delfin 1-3 HT 1-0 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City EKV1
15.03.2022 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 1-1 HT 1-1 Delfin Delfin EKV1
15.08.2021 Guayaquil City Guayaquil City 2-1 HT 2-0 Delfin Delfin EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Delfin
1-0
AWAY Guayaquil City
1.11 xG 0.82
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
161 Passes 414
70% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Delfin vs Guayaquil City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Delfin edged past Guayaquil City 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Delfin as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Delfin had 33% of the ball to Guayaquil City's 67%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 1.11 to 0.82.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guayaquil City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Delfin and 1.83 for Guayaquil City.

What was the final score of Delfin vs Guayaquil City?

Delfin 1-0 Guayaquil City in the Ecuador - Premier on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Delfin vs Guayaquil City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Delfin win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Delfin 58%, draw 24%, Guayaquil City 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Delfin), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Delfin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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