Bucheon 1995 1-1 Daejeon Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.0
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
12%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.5
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
25.5
1/X
5%
13.8
X/1
8%
7.27
X/2
21%
4.68
X/X
11%
4.47
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
15%
2.78
2/X
9%
12.95
Value flag · 1/2 at 25.5 — our 7% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+4.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.5pp
43%
Away Win
46%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 49%
+56% / +56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.43
-17% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +110% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
5.0 Crosses 11.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucheon 1995
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 1.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 376
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2022 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 3-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
02.07.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-0 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR2
21.05.2022 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
02.04.2022 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 2-1 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR2
03.10.2021 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-1 HT 0-1 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
28.08.2021 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 4-2 HT 2-1 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucheon 1995
1-1
AWAY Daejeon Citizen
31% Ball Possession 69%
10 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
215 Passes 593
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
11 Crosses 28
POST-MATCH Bucheon 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucheon 1995 and Daejeon Citizen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Daejeon Citizen at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Bucheon 1995 had 31% of the ball to Daejeon Citizen's 69%, shots finished 10-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bucheon 1995 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Bucheon 1995 and 1.33 for Daejeon Citizen.

What was the final score of Bucheon 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen?

Bucheon 1995 1-1 Daejeon Citizen in the South Kore - K League Classic on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucheon 1995 vs Daejeon Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Bucheon 1995 32%, draw 25%, Daejeon Citizen 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daejeon Citizen), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
7 Mar 2026
10:30 Gwangju vs Incheon United Analysis →