İtalya (K) 1-1 Danimarka (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Women's World Cup, 7 Mar 2026

📅07/03/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
27%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.86
Over 2.5
56%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.1
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
25%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
26%
+1.7pp
44%
Under 2.5
50%
-5.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
50%
+5.6pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.6pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İtalya (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Danimarka (K) EU Bookmakers 29%
-67% / -67% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
0.42/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.08
-45% / -73% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
30.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
23.0 Crosses 12.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İtalya (K)
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Danimarka (K)
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.09 xG 1.13
44% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
294 Passes 387
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 18
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.04.2025 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 0-3 HT 0-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) AVKUL
25.02.2025 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 1-3 HT 0-0 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) AVKUL
01.12.2020 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) ABK
27.10.2020 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İtalya (K)
1-1
AWAY Danimarka (K)
0.92 xG 1.60
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
378 Passes 221
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
28 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH İtalya (K) vs Danimarka (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya (K) and Danimarka (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was İtalya (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, İtalya (K) had 62% of the ball to Danimarka (K)'s 38%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.92 to 1.60.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Danimarka (K) led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for İtalya (K) and 1.50 for Danimarka (K).

What was the final score of İtalya (K) vs Danimarka (K)?

İtalya (K) 1-1 Danimarka (K) in the Women's World Cup on 07/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İtalya (K) vs Danimarka (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a İtalya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split İtalya (K) 48%, draw 25%, Danimarka (K) 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İtalya (K)), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İtalya (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KDK More Women's World Cup
7 Mar 2026
12:00 Kazakistan (K) vs Belarus (K) Analysis →
15:00 Güney Kıbrıs (K) vs Romanya (K) Analysis →
15:00 B. Hersek (K) vs Liechtenstein (K) Analysis →
15:30 İngiltere (K) vs İzlanda (K) Analysis →
15:30 Finlandiya (K) vs Letonya (K) Analysis →
16:30 Macaristan (K) vs Azerbaycan (K) Analysis →