Danimarka (K) 0-3 İtalya (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Karnten Unterliga, 8 Apr 2025

📅08/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.96
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.82
Over 2.5
58%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.04
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.55
6+ Goals
10%
14.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
47%
-0.2pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
51%
-8.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
49%
+8.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Danimarka (K) EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY İtalya (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Danimarka (K)
2W-1D-0L
AWAY İtalya (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.40 xG 1.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
390 Passes 279
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2025 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 1-3 HT 0-0 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) AVKUL
01.12.2020 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) ABK
27.10.2020 İtalya (K) İtalya (K) 1-3 HT 0-2 Danimarka (K) Danimarka (K) ABK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Danimarka (K)
0-3
AWAY İtalya (K)
0.33 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
378 Passes 342
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
11 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Danimarka (K) vs İtalya (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İtalya (K) ran out comfortable winners over Danimarka (K) 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Danimarka (K) at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Danimarka (K) had 52% of the ball to İtalya (K)'s 48%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.33 to 1.39.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Danimarka (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Danimarka (K) and 0.67 for İtalya (K).

What was the final score of Danimarka (K) vs İtalya (K)?

Danimarka (K) 0-3 İtalya (K) in the Austria - Karnten Unterliga on 08/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Danimarka (K) vs İtalya (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Danimarka (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Danimarka (K) 47%, draw 23%, İtalya (K) 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Danimarka (K)), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Danimarka (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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